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You’ve got a business idea. Maybe three.
But you don’t know which one will actually make money. So you either research endlessly (and never launch) or pick one based on gut feeling (and waste six months).
I’ve done both. Here’s what actually works: a structured research process you can run in a single day using AI.
This framework has killed three bad ideas for me this year and greenlit the one that’s now generating revenue. Every niche I evaluate goes through this exact process.
Quick navigation
| Section | What You’ll Learn |
|---|---|
| Why Niche Selection Matters | The real cost of picking wrong |
| AI Tools for Niche Research | What to use (minimum stack = Claude + Google Trends) |
| The 6-Part Research Framework | The complete system |
| Step 1: Problem discovery | Find painful problems worth solving |
| Step 2: Community research | Mine forums for gold |
| Step 3: Demand signals | Verify people are actively searching |
| Step 4: Competition analysis | Find gaps your competitors miss |
| Step 5: Monetization paths | Confirm money flows in the niche |
| Step 6: Compliance check | Avoid regulated minefields |
| The niche brief | Your final validation document |
| 1-Day Research Sprint | Execute this framework fast |
Why niche selection matters
Your niche determines 80% of your success before you write a single word or build a single page.
Pick a niche with no demand? You’ll create content nobody wants.
Pick a niche with no money? You’ll build an audience that can’t buy.
Pick a niche with brutal competition? You’ll fight for scraps against people with bigger budgets and more experience.
Pick the right niche and everything gets easier. Marketing becomes obvious. Content writes itself. Customers find you.
The goal isn’t finding the “perfect” niche. It’s eliminating bad choices fast and committing to something good enough to win.
What makes a niche profitable for an AI business?
| Factor | Good Sign | Bad Sign |
|---|---|---|
| Painful problem | “I need to fix this now” | “Maybe someday” |
| Active search | 1,000+ monthly searches for core terms | Declining trends |
| Money flow | People already pay for solutions | Only free alternatives exist |
| Winnable gaps | Competitors are weak somewhere | Perfect competition everywhere |
| AI leverage | You can automate research, content, or delivery | Everything requires manual expertise |
Miss any one of these and you’re building on sand.
AI tools for niche research
You don’t need expensive tools to validate a niche. Here’s what I actually use:
The minimum stack (free or cheap)
| Tool | What I Use It For | Cost |
|---|---|---|
| Claude | Deep research, analysis, running prompts | Free - $20/mo |
| Google Trends | Trend direction and seasonality | Free |
| Ubersuggest | Basic keyword volumes | Free tier works |
That’s enough to run the full framework. Add more tools only if you need them.
If you want more data
| Tool | Best For | When To Add It |
|---|---|---|
| Ahrefs/SEMrush | Detailed keyword data, competitor traffic | When you need precise volume numbers |
| Perplexity | Web research with citations | When Claude’s knowledge isn’t current enough |
| SimilarWeb | Traffic estimates for competitors | When sizing the competition |
| SpyFu | Competitor ad research | If you plan to run ads |
Why I use Claude for niche research
Claude handles complex, multi-step prompts better than ChatGPT. When I’m running through six research steps, I need an AI that won’t lose context halfway through.
Claude also hallucinates less on factual claims, which matters when you’re making business decisions based on the output.
I’ll use ChatGPT occasionally for a second opinion or when I want faster, more creative brainstorming. But Claude is the workhorse.
The 6-part niche research framework
Before AI, proper niche research took weeks. Pulling keyword data, reading forums, analyzing competitors, checking affiliate programs…
Now you can compress that into a day. But only if you use AI correctly.
The mistake most people make: they ask AI to “pick a niche for them.”
That’s backwards.
AI agents are research assistants, not decision makers. The market decides what’s profitable. You decide what you’re willing to commit to.
Here’s the framework:
| Step | Purpose | AI Role | Time |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Problem Discovery | Find painful problems | Research assistant | 1-2 hours |
| 2. Community Research | Mine forums for insights | Pattern detector | 1-2 hours |
| 3. Demand Signals | Verify search volume | Data compiler | 30-60 min |
| 4. Competition Analysis | Find gaps | Competitive analyst | 1-2 hours |
| 5. Monetization Paths | Confirm money flow | Market researcher | 30-60 min |
| 6. Compliance Check | Spot risks | Risk assessor | 30 min |
Let me walk you through each step with the exact prompts I use.
Step 1: Problem discovery with AI
Every profitable business starts with a painful problem.
Not a mild inconvenience. A real frustration. Something they’ll pay to solve.
What makes a problem worth building a business around?
| Factor | Good Sign | Bad Sign |
|---|---|---|
| Urgency | “I need to fix this now” | “Maybe someday” |
| Frequency | Happens regularly | One-time issue |
| Spending | People already pay for solutions | Free alternatives work fine |
| Emotion | Frustration, fear, desire | Mild curiosity |
The problem discovery prompt
Copy this into Claude. Replace [NICHE] with your idea.
You are a market researcher. I'm exploring the [NICHE] space to see if there's a viable business opportunity.
Research and provide:
1. TOP 10 PROBLEMS people in this space are actively trying to solve
- What specific frustrations do they express?
- What language do they use to describe the problem?
- How urgent is this problem? (rate 1-10)
2. WHERE do they discuss these problems?
- Specific subreddits (with subscriber counts if known)
- Forums and communities
- Facebook groups
- YouTube comment patterns
- Quora questions
3. WHAT SOLUTIONS are they currently using?
- Products they buy
- Services they hire
- DIY approaches they try
- What do they complain about with current solutions?
4. SPENDING INDICATORS
- What are people actively paying for?
- Price points that appear in discussions
- Who's making money in this space?
For each problem, assess:
- Market size indicator (niche/medium/large)
- Urgency level (low/medium/high)
- Existing solution quality (poor/okay/good)
I need evidence-based analysis. Show receipts where possible.
What you’re looking for
Green lights (proceed to step 2):
- Specific, recurring complaints
- People asking “where can I buy…” or “who can help with…”
- Frustration with existing solutions
- Active, growing communities
- Price points mentioned in discussions
Red flags (consider a different niche):
- Vague, generic problems
- No active communities
- People happy with free solutions
- Declining interest over time
- Nobody talking about spending money
Example: What this looks like for “dog training”
When I run this for “dog training,” here’s what the research reveals:
| Problem | Urgency | Community Size | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Puppy biting/nipping | High (9/10) | r/puppy101 (500k+) | “My hands are shredded” - common complaint |
| Leash pulling | High (8/10) | Multiple subreddits | “I can’t even walk my dog” |
| Separation anxiety | High (9/10) | r/reactivedogs (100k+) | Emotional posts, desperation |
| Recall training | Medium (6/10) | YouTube comments | “My dog ignores me” |
These are real problems people desperately want solved. That’s a green light to continue.
Step 2: Reddit and community research
Reddit is a goldmine for niche research because people are brutally honest there.
Unlike surveys where people tell you what they think you want to hear, Reddit captures authentic frustration. People come to Reddit to solve problems, not to participate in research.
What to look for in communities
High-value signals:
| Signal Type | What It Looks Like | Why It Matters |
|---|---|---|
| Frustrated complaints | “I’ve tried everything and nothing works” | Unmet demand |
| Recommendation requests | “What’s the best X for Y?” | Buying intent |
| Workarounds | “Here’s what I do instead…” | Product gap |
| Success stories | “This finally worked for me” | Proof of spending |
| Repeat questions | Same question asked weekly | Ongoing demand |
Warning signs:
| Signal Type | What It Looks Like | Why It Matters |
|---|---|---|
| No activity | Subreddit has 50k members, 2 posts/month | Dead market |
| Satisfied users | “The free version works great” | No monetization path |
| Expert-only | Discussions too technical for mass market | Small addressable market |
| Declining engagement | Less activity vs. 1-2 years ago | Shrinking market |
Community research prompt
You are a community researcher analyzing [NICHE] discussions.
I want you to analyze online communities in this space:
1. COMMUNITY MAPPING
- List the top 10 Reddit communities for this audience
- Identify 5 Facebook groups (search patterns to find them)
- Note any Discord servers or Slack communities
- Find relevant Quora topics
2. PAIN POINT MINING
For the top 3 communities, analyze:
- What are the most upvoted posts about?
- What questions get asked repeatedly?
- What problems do people describe in detail?
- What exact language do they use?
3. SOLUTION ANALYSIS
- What products/services do community members recommend?
- What do they complain about with existing solutions?
- What workarounds or DIY solutions do they use?
- What's their "I wish someone would make..." statements?
4. BUYING SIGNALS
Look for:
- Posts asking for product recommendations
- Discussions about price vs. value
- Reviews and testimonials
- "Where can I buy..." type questions
5. PATTERN RECOGNITION
- What themes appear across multiple communities?
- What problems have no good solutions?
- What audience segments are underserved?
Provide specific examples with the language people actually use.
Reddit search techniques that actually work
Most people search Reddit wrong. Here’s how to find gold:
Basic searches:
[niche] site:reddit.comon Google"struggling with" [problem]on Reddit search- Sort by “Top” for past year to see what resonates
Advanced searches:
- Search for product/brand names + “alternative” or “vs”
- Look at crossposted content to find related communities
- When someone posts “Here’s what finally worked for me,” the comments often contain 10 more problems to solve
Step 3: Demand signal analysis
Problems are step one. Community interest is step two. Now you verify people are actually searching for solutions.
Don’t assume demand exists because you found some forum posts. Verify.
The demand validation checklist
| Signal | How to Check | Minimum Threshold |
|---|---|---|
| Google Trends | Search your niche | Stable or growing (not declining) |
| Keyword volume | Use Ahrefs/SEMrush/Ubersuggest | 1,000+ monthly for core terms |
| YouTube views | Search niche topics | Recent videos with 10k+ views |
| Reddit activity | Check relevant subreddits | Daily new posts |
| Amazon reviews | Search related products | Products with 1,000+ reviews |
Don’t just look at volume. Look at trajectory. A niche with 5,000 monthly searches growing 20% year-over-year beats a niche with 50,000 searches declining.
Demand analysis prompt
You are a keyword researcher analyzing the [NICHE] space.
Research and provide:
1. HIGH-INTENT KEYWORDS
Group keywords by search intent:
INFORMATIONAL (learning)
- "How to [solve problem]" keywords
- "What is [concept]" keywords
- "[Topic] guide/tutorial" keywords
COMMERCIAL (comparing)
- "Best [product]" keywords
- "[Product A] vs [Product B]" keywords
- "[Product] review" keywords
TRANSACTIONAL (buying)
- "[Product] price" keywords
- "Buy [product]" keywords
- "[Product] discount/coupon" keywords
2. SEARCH VOLUME INDICATORS
- Estimate monthly search volume ranges for top keywords
- Note Google Trends direction (up/stable/down)
- Identify seasonal patterns
- Note geographic concentration
3. CONTENT GAP OPPORTUNITIES
- Questions with weak existing answers
- Long-tail variations competitors miss
- New angles not yet covered
- Emerging subtopics
4. COMPETITION ASSESSMENT
For top 5 commercial keywords:
- Who currently ranks #1-3?
- How authoritative are these sites?
- What would it take to compete?
5. YOUTUBE DEMAND
- Popular video topics and view counts
- Channel sizes covering this niche
- Engagement rates (comments per view)
Provide specific data points and estimates where possible.
How to read the data
| Scenario | What It Means | What To Do |
|---|---|---|
| High volume, stable trend | Proven market, competition likely | Look for sub-niche or unique angle |
| Medium volume, growing trend | Emerging opportunity | Move fast |
| High volume, declining trend | Dying market | Avoid unless you have an edge |
| Low volume, growing trend | Early opportunity | Validate willingness to pay before committing |
| Low volume, stable | Small niche | Only works if monetization is strong |
The Google Trends reality check
Google Trends is free and tells you something crucial: direction.
Run these searches:
- Your main niche term
- Your main competitor’s brand
- A “comparison” term (e.g., “[Product A] vs [Product B]”)
- Related product category
Set to “Past 5 years” and look for:
- Rising trend: Good sign, market is growing
- Stable trend: Okay, mature market
- Declining trend: Dangerous, unless you know why
- Seasonal spikes: Plan your content calendar accordingly
Step 4: Competition analysis
Here’s where most people make a mistake: they see competition and run away.
That’s backwards.
Competition means money. No competition usually means no market.
You’re not looking for “no competition.” You’re looking for gaps, places where competitors are weak, missing angles, or ignoring segments of the market.
For deep competitive intelligence, I wrote a complete guide: AI Competitor Analysis. Here’s the condensed version for niche validation.
Quick competition assessment prompt
You are a competitive analyst researching the [NICHE] space.
Analyze the competitive landscape:
1. TOP 10 PLAYERS
List the main competitors:
- Website URL
- What they sell (products, services, content)
- Estimated traffic/size
- Primary traffic source (SEO, ads, social)
2. CONTENT ANALYSIS
For the top 3 content sites:
- What topics do they cover repeatedly?
- What topics do they ignore?
- Content quality assessment (depth, freshness, format)
- Publishing frequency
3. MONETIZATION METHODS
How are competitors making money?
- Affiliate programs they promote
- Products they sell
- Services offered
- Ad placements
4. WEAKNESS IDENTIFICATION
For each top competitor, find:
- Content gaps (topics not covered)
- Quality gaps (outdated, thin, or poor content)
- Format gaps (no video, no tools, no templates)
- Audience gaps (segments they ignore)
5. YOUR OPPORTUNITY
Based on this analysis:
- What can you do that they aren't?
- What audience can you serve better?
- What angle would differentiate you?
The competition matrix
Build this for your top 5 competitors:
| Competitor | Traffic | Strengths | Weaknesses | Your Opportunity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Site A | 500k/mo | High authority, lots of content | Outdated info, no video | Fresh content + video |
| Site B | 200k/mo | Great design, active community | Generic advice, no tools | Specific tools/templates |
| Site C | 100k/mo | Strong SEO, good rankings | Corporate tone, no personality | Authentic voice |
| Site D | 50k/mo | Video focus, engaged audience | No written content | Written + video combo |
| Site E | 25k/mo | Personal brand, trusted | Limited topics, slow updates | Broader coverage |
What gaps look like in practice
Content gaps:
- “Best [product] for [specific use case]” with no good results
- Questions on forums with no comprehensive answers
- Comparison articles that are 3+ years old
- Topics covered only in video, not text (or vice versa)
Format gaps:
- Text-heavy niche with no video content
- No interactive tools or calculators
- No downloadable resources or templates
- No email courses or sequences
Audience gaps:
- Experts covered, beginners ignored
- One demographic served, others forgotten
- US-focused content, international audience underserved
- Desktop-focused, mobile ignored
Step 5: Monetization research
A niche with problems, demand, and gaps is worthless if there’s no way to make money.
This isn’t about picking your monetization strategy yet. That comes in AI Monetization Planning.
This is about verifying money actually flows in the niche before you commit to building anything.
Monetization research prompt
You are a monetization strategist researching the [NICHE] space.
Research all viable revenue streams:
1. AFFILIATE PROGRAMS
Find the top affiliate programs:
- Program name and URL
- Commission rates and structure
- Cookie duration
- Average order value
- Payout minimum
- Program reputation
2. DIGITAL PRODUCTS
What digital products sell in this space?
- Online courses (with price points)
- Ebooks and guides
- Templates and tools
- Membership sites
- Software/SaaS
3. PHYSICAL PRODUCTS
- Top-selling products on Amazon
- Average price points
- Review counts (demand indicator)
- Affiliate commission rates
4. SERVICES
- What services do people hire for?
- Typical price points
- Delivery formats (coaching, done-for-you, consulting)
5. ADVERTISING
- Google Ads CPC for main keywords
- Display ad rates (RPM estimates)
- Sponsored content rates
6. COMPETITOR REVENUE SIGNALS
How are top competitors monetizing?
- What products do they sell?
- What affiliates do they promote?
- What services do they offer?
For each monetization path, estimate:
- Revenue potential (low/medium/high)
- Effort required to implement
- Competition level
The monetization validation checklist
| Path | Evidence of Money | Example |
|---|---|---|
| Affiliates | Programs exist with 20%+ commissions | Dog training courses pay $50+ per sale |
| Digital products | Courses sell for $100+ | “Brain Training for Dogs” sells at $67 |
| Services | People pay $500+ | Dog trainers charge $100+/session |
| Ads | CPCs above $1 | “Dog training” CPCs range $1-5 |
| Physical products | Products with 1k+ reviews | Training equipment sells well |
The rule: If you can’t find at least two viable monetization paths, reconsider the niche.
Revenue stack analysis
The best niches for an AI business support multiple revenue streams that you can build over time:
| Stack Level | Revenue Type | Example | When to Add |
|---|---|---|---|
| Immediate | Affiliate commissions | Product recommendations | Day 1 |
| Short-term | Digital products | Templates, guides | Month 2-3 |
| Medium-term | Courses | Full training programs | Month 6+ |
| Long-term | Services | Consulting, done-for-you | When you have demand |
| Passive | Advertising | Display ads, sponsorships | When you have traffic |
A niche that only supports one revenue stream is riskier than one supporting three or four.
Step 6: Compliance and risk check
This is where AI saves you from expensive mistakes.
Some niches look profitable until you realize:
- You can’t advertise certain claims
- Platforms ban related content
- Regulations turn it into a minefield
Run this check before you commit.
Compliance research prompt
You are a compliance researcher analyzing the [NICHE] space.
Research all regulatory and platform risks:
1. ADVERTISING RESTRICTIONS
- Google Ads policies for this niche
- Facebook/Meta ad restrictions
- YouTube monetization policies
- TikTok ad policies
- Native ad network policies
2. CONTENT RESTRICTIONS
- Claims you cannot make
- Required disclaimers
- Testimonial requirements
- Medical/financial/legal restrictions
3. FTC REQUIREMENTS
- Affiliate disclosure requirements
- Endorsement guidelines
- Income claim restrictions
- Before/after restrictions
4. PLATFORM RISKS
- History of account bans in this niche
- Policy enforcement trends
- Shadowban risks
- Demonetization patterns
5. REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT
- Industry-specific regulations
- Licensing requirements
- Geographic restrictions
- Data privacy concerns
For each risk, provide:
- Severity rating (low/medium/high)
- Specific examples of violations
- Mitigation strategies
Risk level by niche type
| Risk Level | Characteristics | Examples |
|---|---|---|
| High risk | Medical claims, income promises, supplements, financial advice | Weight loss, crypto, “make money online,” supplements |
| Medium risk | Relationship advice, career advice, some finance | Dating, job coaching, investing education |
| Lower risk | Entertainment, hobbies, general education | Pet care, home improvement, cooking, crafts |
High-risk doesn’t mean avoid. It means go in with eyes open and compliance strategies ready.
Common compliance issues and solutions
| Issue | Impact | Solution |
|---|---|---|
| Can’t run Facebook ads | Limited paid acquisition | Focus on organic, use native ads |
| Income claims restricted | Can’t show results | Focus on process, not outcomes |
| Medical disclaimers required | Adds friction | Build into content naturally |
| FTC disclosure rules | Minor friction | Clear disclosure policy |
| Platform bans common | Revenue risk | Diversify platforms early |
The niche brief: your final decision document
After running all six steps, compile everything into a Niche Brief.
This is your decision document. One page that tells you whether to commit or move on.
Niche brief template prompt
You are a market analyst. Compile all our research into a final Niche Brief.
Use this format:
## NICHE BRIEF: [Niche Name]
Date: [Today]
### 1. MARKET SUMMARY
- Primary problems solved: [list top 3]
- Target audience: [specific description]
- Market size indicator: [niche/medium/large]
- Market trend: [growing/stable/declining]
### 2. DEMAND VALIDATION
- Core keyword volume: [X monthly searches]
- Trend direction: [growing/stable/declining]
- Community activity: [high/medium/low]
- Buying intent signals: [strong/moderate/weak]
### 3. COMPETITION ASSESSMENT
- Saturation level: [high/medium/low]
- Quality of existing content: [high/medium/low]
- Top 3 gaps identified:
1. [Gap]
2. [Gap]
3. [Gap]
### 4. MONETIZATION POTENTIAL
- Primary path: [method] - [revenue potential]
- Secondary path: [method] - [revenue potential]
- Tertiary path: [method] - [revenue potential]
- Revenue stack viability: [strong/moderate/weak]
### 5. RISK FACTORS
- Primary risks:
1. [Risk]
2. [Risk]
3. [Risk]
- Mitigation strategies: [brief description]
- Risk level: [high/medium/low]
### 6. COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE
- Your angle: [how you'll differentiate]
- Your edge: [what you can do that others can't]
- AI leverage: [how AI gives you an advantage]
### 7. RECOMMENDATION
**VERDICT: PROCEED / PROCEED WITH CAUTION / PASS**
Reasoning: [2-3 sentences explaining the decision]
### 8. NEXT STEPS (if proceeding)
1. [First action]
2. [Second action]
3. [Third action]
The 1-day niche research sprint
Want to run this framework fast? Here’s the one-day sprint version.
Morning (4 hours)
Hour 1-2: Problem Discovery
- Run the Problem Discovery prompt for 3 niche ideas
- Eliminate any without clear painful problems
- Pick top 2 to research further
Hour 2-3: Community Research
- Identify top 5 Reddit communities for each niche
- Analyze top 20 posts from past month
- Document pain points and language
Hour 3-4: Quick Demand Check
- Run Google Trends for all remaining niches
- Check keyword volumes for main terms
- Eliminate any with declining trends or no volume
Afternoon (3 hours)
Hour 5: Competition Scan
- Identify top 10 competitors for remaining niche(s)
- Analyze top 3 in detail
- Document gaps and opportunities
Hour 6: Monetization Research
- Find affiliate programs
- Check Amazon for product demand
- Look at competitor monetization
Hour 7: Compliance Check + Brief
- Run compliance prompt
- Compile Niche Brief
- Make decision
End of day deliverable
By end of day, you should have:
- 3 niche ideas evaluated
- 1-2 eliminated with clear reasoning
- 1 Niche Brief for your top choice
- Next steps documented
If none of your ideas pass, you’ve saved yourself months of wasted effort. Run the process again tomorrow with new ideas.
Common niche research mistakes
| Mistake | Why It Fails | What To Do Instead |
|---|---|---|
| “Passion-only” selection | Passion doesn’t equal profit | Passion + demand + money flow |
| Chasing trends | Trends fade fast | Evergreen with trend overlap |
| Running from competition | No competition = no market | Find gaps within competitive markets |
| Copying competitors | You’ll always be behind | Find angles competitors ignore |
| Skipping compliance | Expensive mistakes later | Check restrictions early |
| Analysis paralysis | Never launching | Time-box research to 1-2 days |
| Trusting AI blindly | AI can be wrong | Verify key data manually |
What to do next
You’ve run the research. You have a Niche Brief. Now what?
If your niche passed: Validate with real content
Don’t build the whole business yet. Test your assumptions with minimal content first.
Next step: AI Market Validation shows you how to test your niche with real content before committing to a full build.
If you need to refine: Go deeper on a sub-niche
The niche has potential but needs narrowing. Run the research again on 2-3 sub-niches within your broader topic.
If your niche failed: That’s a win
The research revealed dealbreakers. That’s not failure. That’s avoiding a six-month mistake.
Run the process on your next idea. You can do it in a day now.
The framework summary
- Find painful problems - Real frustrations people will pay to solve
- Mine communities - Discover language, pain points, buying signals
- Verify demand - Active search volume and growing trends
- Analyze competition - Find gaps, not empty markets
- Confirm monetization - Money must flow in the niche
- Check compliance - Know the risks before you commit
- Compile and decide - One brief, one decision
AI makes this faster. But the decision is still yours.
Related guides
Next in your journey:
- AI Market Validation - Test your niche before building
- AI Competitor Analysis - Deep competitive intelligence
- Business Models - Choose how you’ll operate
- Monetization Planning - Plan your revenue streams
Related resources:
- Affiliate Marketing with AI - One monetization path
- AI Content Workflow - Create content at scale